I’m not a fan of trading Julio Teheran, but every man has the right price. Julio’s price happens to be $10 million and a helicopter to Cuba. These packages will be very lucrative, the front office has made it clear they will take nothing less than a robbery of a farm system or an MLB hitter “of equal quality”. These are hypotheticals, and who could be in the mix to make a move for a guy who has been red hot.
Julio Teheran in 2016: 2.92 ERA, 69 Ks, 1.054 WHIP in 74 IP.
Signed for 6 years, $32.4 Million from 2014-2019, Team Option in 2020.
Julio has a lot of value in terms of his talent, but the contract is what really makes him so tantalizing. He’s controlled for a long time, and he’s dealing right now. Some team could pull the trigger and give the Braves the package of a lifetime, and make the Diamondbacks deal look like child’s play. The amount of teams willing to give up what it takes to get Julio Teheran will be limited, so I’ve narrowed the options down to the teams who:
A. Have enough in the farm to do it (Sorry, White Sox)
B. Are “All-In” on a World Series run (Sorry, Blue Jays)
C. Have interest
D. Are trying to get “Over the hump”
So, the candidates?
1. Red Sox
The Yankees are the exception here, because they’re always willing to wheel and deal, so you can’t exclude them. The Red Sox & Cubs are the 2 that make the most sense, and Julio would have a great opportunity to win. Let’s explore the possible deals:
The Boston Red Sox Trade 3B Travis Shaw, OF Andrew Benintendi, C Blake Swihart, & RHP Joe Kelly to the Atlanta Braves in exchange for RHP Julio Teheran, & RHP Touki Toussaint
Talk about a blockbuster, right? This trade would fill every single need left, and 3 of the 4 of these guys are controllable for a long time. Benintendi was the 7th overall pick last year, and Shaw and Swihart are recent top prospects. Shaw provides us immediate help with a young, power hitting third baseman. It also gives Boston a chance to promote top prospects Yoan Moncada and Rafael Devers. Benintendi was drafted last year, and could appear as early as next year, reminds me a lot of New York’s Michael Conforto. Swihart just returned from injury, but he is one of the best young catchers in the game. Joe Kelly can fill in as a 4 or 5 starter, his numbers are ugly, but he’s also recovering from an injury. This is a lot for Boston to give up, but the Braves should take nothing less. Toussaint is thrown in due to his dreadful performance, and he still has value as a project. Here’s the numbers for the return:
Travis Shaw (MLB)- .285, 7 HR, 35 RBI
Andrew Benintendi (A & AA)- .304, 1 HR, 14 2B, 8 3B, 39 RBI
Blake Swihart in 2015 (MLB)- .274, 5 HR, 31 RBI
Joe Kelly (MLB)- 2-0, 8.46 ERA
The Chicago Cubs trade 3B Javier Baez, C Willson Contreras, OF Albert Almora, RHP Dylan Cease, and RHP Oscar De La Cruz to the Atlanta Braves in exchange for Julio Teheran and RHP Zachary Bird
Another insane offer, but a team that can smell the World Series that hasn’t seen a title since 1908 could get a little desperate. Soler and Baez isn’t that great of a package in my opinion, and I’m following the same blueprint that I did on the Boston package. MLB ready third baseman, young stud outfielder and catcher, but instead of a 4 and 5 I added 2 prospect pitchers (#8 & #9 overall in their system). Dylan Cease hasn’t played yet due to Tommy John’s, but was touching 100 on his fastball and was supposed to be a top 5 pick in 2014 before his injury. De La Cruz has also not played, he is an international pickup. Bird, like Toussaint, is having control issues and is a project. The Numbers:
Javier Baez (MLB): .252, 3 HR, 11 RBI
Willson Contreras (AAA): .335, 9 HR, 12 2Bs, 38 RBI (!!!!!!)
Albert Almora (AAA): .320, 3 HR, 7 SB, 30 RBI
The Texas Rangers trade 3B/OF Joey Gallo, OF Lewis Brinson, RHP Dillon Tate, RHP Luis Ortiz, 3B Josh Morgan, and 2B Andy Ibanez to the Atlanta Braves in exchange for RHP Julio Teheran and RHP Arodys Vizcaino.
This deal includes 4 of Texas’ top 5 prospects, along with their #9 and #15. If we’re giving up a top of the line MLB starter AND top of the line MLB closer, this is what you ask for. The Rangers have expressed interest in both of these guys, so why not kill 2 birds with one stone. Gallo ranks #7 in all of the MLB, Brinson is #13, Dillon Tate is #31, and Luis Ortiz is #67. Gallo is an absolute slugger, and the rest are knocking on the door of being top MLB players. Due to the small sample sizes of some of Brinson and Gallo in the MLB, i’ll be using Minor League Stats.
Joey Gallo (AAA): .294, 10 HR, 27 RBI in 29 games.
Lewis Brinson (AA): .222, 5 HR, 23 RBI, 8 SB
Dillon Tate (A): 1-2, 6.44 ERA in 29 IP
Luis Ortiz (AA): 1-1, 3.27 ERA in 11 IP
Josh Morgan (A): .247, 3 HR, 13 RBI
Andy Ibanez (A): .315, 5 HR, 32 RBI
The Houston Astros trade OF George Springer, 3B Colin Moran, and RHP Joe Musgrove to the Atlanta Braves in exchange for RHP Julio Teheran, OF Ender Inciarte, and LHP Manny Banuelos
This deal requires a little more on our part. Springer is showing flashes of being a top 10 player in the game, and we can send struggling Inciarte over to replace him in this deal. Colin Moran was the 6th overall pick in 2013, and Musgrove is the Astros’ 8th overall prospect. Banuelos is thrown in due to his injury history and recent control issues in his rehab appearances.
George Springer (MLB): .292, 13 HR, 35 RBI
Colin Moran (AAA): .293, 3 HR, 23 RBI
Joe Musgrove (AA): 2-1, 0.34 ERA, 30 Ks in 26.1 IP (!!!!)
The New York Yankees trade RHP Luis Severino, C Gary Sanchez, and OF Aaron Judge to the Atlanta Braves in exchange for RHP Julio Teheran
Not a huge fan of this trade, but Severino is crazy talented, even though 2016 has been rough for him. Judge and Sanchez are top prospects, and they have been on Atlanta’s radar for a while. Judge is the #6 OF prospect in the MLB, and Sanchez is the #2 catching prospect.
Luis Severino in 2015 (MLB): 5-3, 2.89 ERA in 62.1 IP
Aaron Judge (AAA): .228, 7 HR, 26 RBI
Gary Sanchez (AAA): .290, 6 HR, 26 RBI
The Los Angeles Dodgers trade OF Yasiel Puig, RHP Grant Holmes, and C Austin Barnes to the Atlanta Braves in exchange for RHP Julio Teheran
Julio’s struggles at Dodger Stadium have been well documented (See; Last Night), but he makes a lot of sense for LA. They always seem to make deals for starters, and their farm is flush with prospects. Puig is an interesting character, but he fits a need for Atlanta. I don’t care for this deal at all, but it could happen.
Yasiel Puig (MLB): .237, 5 HR, 20 RBI
Grant Holmes (A): 4-2, 3.17 ERA, 58 Ks
Austin Barnes (AAA): .306, 11 RBI, 12 SB