Your Atlanta Falcons beat the Seahawks in Week 3 to earn their first win of the 2022 season. After the west coast trip, the Birds travel back home to prepare to host the Cleveland Browns at Mercedes Benz Stadium. Let’s check out how Vegas believes these teams match up.
All NFL betting lines and odds are from FanDuel Sportsbook.
These clubs haven’t faced each other since 2018, and both are coming off wins. The Cleveland Browns beat the Pittsburgh Steelers 29-17 in Week 3 as they begin to establish an identity under signal caller Jacoby Brissett. Meanwhile, the Atlanta Falcons took care of business in Seattle with a dramatic finish that featured an interception by Richie Grant to seal the game.
These are two of the highest-scoring offenses in the league, which is undoubtedly something nobody expected to say before the season began. That said, it’s no surprise this clash features one of the higher projected totals on the Week 4 slate.
The Browns are slight road favorites, and it’s easy to see why. Kevin Stefanski’s offense averages a league-leading 190.7 rushing yards per game with an equally impressive 5.0 yards per carry, while Dean Pees’ unit is ranked among the bottom 10 teams in rush defense DVOA rating.
Despite the Falcons being 0-5 in their last five home games against the Browns, these are completely different teams than in the past. There are only three teams that are 3-0 ATS through Week 3 — the Falcons, Dolphins, and Lions. In the season opener at home, Atlanta opened as 3.5-point underdogs against the Saints, but the public quickly bet that up to 5.5 points. Never mind covering, the good guys should’ve won outright. In Week 2, the Falcons were even bigger underdogs against the Rams, who opened as 10.5-point favorites in Los Angeles. Atlanta had a noble comeback but fell short (still covered, though). And last Sunday in Seattle, the Atlanta Falcons opened as 1.5-point underdogs and won outright.
If you follow the site, you know I’ve been heavy on the Falcons ATS, and nothing is changing this week. They’re a frisky team that remains competitive despite the obvious lack of talent — a roster with the least amount of cap dollars allocated to the active roster. If Falcons fans want to bet on this game, I’d wait for the line to move to +3 because the casuals will see the Browns at -2.5 and jump all over it. Just be patient; the line will move.