The Falcons dropped their first game of the season as 3-point favorites to the Eagles, hitting the under of 47.5. This week against the Buccaneers, the Falcons will be massive underdogs. According to Draft Kings, Tampa Bay opened as 8.5-point favorites over Atlanta, but that spread jumped all the way up to 13 and settled back down to 12.
Atlanta will travel to Tampa as almost two-touchdown underdogs after they embarrassingly didn’t show up in Week 1. The opposite can be said for the reigning Super Bowl champions. Tom Brady looked as good as ever in the Bucs Week 1 victory over the Cowboys as he threw for 379 yards and four touchdowns.
Philly absolutely dismantled Atlanta, as the Falcons were out-gained 434-260 in total yards and converted just 3-of-14 third-down attempts. The Bucs defense was equally ineffective in Week 1, giving up 29 points to Dak Prescott and Dallas. Tampa failed to cover last week as 9-point home favorites and needed a late drive to edge out the Cowboys by two points.
Matt Ryan balled out in the two games against the Buccaneers last year — a 5-TD-to-0-INt ratio, 67.7% completion percentage, 310.5 pass yards per game, and a 104.3 QB rating. Tom Brady was equally brilliant in those same matchups, but the defense that led the team to the Super Bowl is off to a sluggish start.
Arthur Smith’s new-look offense should have a bounce-back performance. This divisional matchup will be closer than two touchdowns — take the Falcons to cover. There is also the over/under which has been set at 52. I feel confident the Falcons defense is going to get diced up, but so will Todd Bowles‘ unit — take the over.