The Falcons got their first win of the season after scraping by the winless Giants last week. The 2021 season hasn’t gone quite the way Washington expected after an encouraging end to last season. Both teams enter Week 4 with a 1-2 record, and the line opened with the Falcons as favorites. The public quickly bet them down to 1.5-point underdogs, though, after beginning as 1-point favorites. Similarly, the total fell a whole point after opening at 49.
The Falcons are one of the worst offenses in football, ranking dead last in offensive DVOA. WFT has only averaged 22.3 points per game through the first three weeks, and Atlanta has averaged an embarrassing 16 points per game. So I wouldn’t expect this one to be a high-scoring affair. The trends also support this notion.
The Under has hit in Washington’s last four games as road favorites, and the Under is 6-1 in the Falcons past seven games as a home underdog. It wouldn’t be surprising at all to see a game like last week between the Giants and the Falcons; I would bet the obvious Under.
After notching their first win under first-year head coach Arthur Smith, Atlanta is building momentum. Still, they looked terrible in many areas, so I wouldn’t put too much into last week. The Falcons are a bad team with an even worse offense, specifically a line that Washington will take advantage of. Even though they’ve underperformed this season, River Boat Ron’s squad is still the superior team in this matchup.
I fully expect the offensive line to have a tough day corralling Jonathan Allen, Daron Payne, Chase Young, and the other defensive linemen. Ryan won’t have much time to throw, and the offense will continue to look incompetent, so I would bet the Under as well as take the points for Washington.