How to bet Falcons vs. Bears Week 11 matchup

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The Falcons host the Bears this Sunday as both clubs look to end losing streaks. Chicago will try to stop a three-game skid, while Atlanta has lost their last two contests. Oddsmakers see the Week 11 tilt as a close one with a ton of points as Atlanta opens as 3-point home favorites. So how should you bet it?

All NFL betting lines and odds are from FanDuel Sportsbook as of Tuesday

The Falcons haven’t exactly done anything in the past couple of weeks to encourage you to bet on them. But would you feel comfortable taking Justin Fields and the Bears, either? It’s the third game in which Atlanta has been favored, and the Falcons didn’t cover in the prior two contests against the Panthers. For the Bears, this is the eighth time this season that Chicago is underdogs. It’s a tough call… or is it?

Screw the points, take the over. The total has fallen to 49.5 after opening at 50.5, which makes me love it even more. The public likely sees these two teams as sorry franchises and expects it to be an ugly, low-scoring affair. However, I don’t support that opinion.

The Falcons have surrendered 25, 34, and 35 points in three of the last four weeks. And there are no signs of turning things around. Atlanta’s defense has been gashed by the Panthers on the ground in two of the last three weeks, and it’s becoming clear there isn’t much Dean Pees’ unit does well. Justin Fields and the Bears No. 1 rushing attack will surely have a field day (pun intended) this Sunday.

On the flip side, the Bears have given up 31, 35, and 49 points in their last three contests. Chicago’s defense is just not good after trading Robert Quinn and Roquan Smith in recent weeks. These teams are actually very similar; about the only thing they do well is run the ball. That’s it. And with two mobile quarterbacks, drives will be sustained, which means more points.

The Bears have averaged 31 points per game in their previous four games behind some electric playmaking from Fields. On defense, the Falcons are 27th in the league in points per game, and the Bears are 26th… there will be points. Take the over.

Photographer: Rich von Biberstein/Icon Sportswire

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