SportsTalkATL’s College Football Gambling Locks: Week 5

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Chase Irle’s Locks (@IrleChase)

Season Record (13-13)

Virginia (+4.5) at Miami

I don’t love Virginia, but they’ve shown the ability to score, and I don’t believe in the Hurricanes at all.

Arkansas (+18.5) vs. Georgia

This is a clear trap bet, but I’ll take the cheese. I do think Georgia can dominate this game, but Arkansas’ defense should be able to keep it close enough to cover.

Cincinatti Bearcats (-2.5) vs. Notre Dame

Nice win last week for Notre Dame, but I’m still not a believer. Give me the Bearcats, who should win this game.

Rutgers (+15) vs. Ohio State

Greg Schiano is the king of covering, and I think Rutgers is getting another good line here against Ohio State. The Buckeyes offense has shown no consistency all season, and I wouldn’t be against anybody who is thinking about sprinkling Rutgers to win this one straight.

Syracuse (+4.5) at Florida State

Again, this is another trap game from Vegas. There’s no reason Florida State should be favored against anyone by 4.5 points — not even at home against Syracuse. The Orange are in a letdown spot after beating Liberty last week, but I still like them to beat Florida State this week.

Nebraska (-10.5) vs. Northwestern

After a slow start, Nebraska has started to show some life, even if they’ve fallen just short against Oklahoma and Michigan State. Those teams are much better than the Northwestern bunch coming to town this weekend. I like the Cornhuskers to roll.

Kansas State (+10.5) vs. Oklahoma

Oklahoma is hot garbage. Kansas State wins this straight up.

Alex Lord’s Locks (@GeauxSportsTalk)

Season Record: (10-14)

Alabama vs. Ole Miss (+14.5) (Over 79)

I imagine the public is all over the Tide this week, so I’ll go with the Rebs. Last year, these two teams combined for a million points. Bama’s defense is worse, and Ole Miss’s offense is better than a season ago — take the over.

Clemson vs. Boston College (+17)

Clemson is horrible and should’ve probably been left out of the top 25, but the committee clearly has a soft spot for Dabo Swinney. Boston College looks great under Jeff Hafley, so I’ll take the Eagles.

Oregon (-8) @ Stanford 

This seems like a trap, but this is the best Ducks team in recent memory. Stanford is lost, and Oregon is giving up less than 20 points per game.

Jake Gordon’s Locks (@cantguardjake)

Season Record: 18-11

Boston College (+17) @ Clemson

I don’t think Clemson should be favored by 17 against anybody right now, and this is a frisky Boston College team that plays some good defense. I bet this on Monday, and it looks like the line has already dropped to 14.5. I think there’s a good chance Jeff Hafley and the Eagles win outright — they have looked solid so far.

Michigan PK @ Wisconsin

Wisconsin has burned me a few times this season, and I think Michigan is a bit more talented. As a straight pick em, I’ll just go with the Wolverines.

Ole Miss (+14.5) @ Alabama (o77.5)

This is the “why not, bet the over” game of the week. These teams combined for 100+ points last year, and I’d love to see it happen again. I’ll also be sprinkling a little on Ole Miss Moneyline (+500) as well. I think Lane Kiffin gets in his bag for this game.

Arkansas (+18.5) @ Georgia

I hate to fade my Dawgs, and I’ll be in attendance for this one. This is such a trap line, but like Chase, I’ll take the cheese — it’s a win-win scenario for me… unless the Dawgs lose outright. Trust me, I’d love to be wrong, but they’re a tough squad with a ton of “super seniors” that are playing their extra covid year. I think Georgia’s defense gets it done at the end of the day.

Rutgers (+7.5 1H) @ Ohio State

KIDS, WHAT IS THE RULE? Greg Schiano is addicted to covering. Rutgers kept it close against Michigan, and I like him to keep it close for at least a half on Saturday.

Larsen Griffeth’s Locks

Season Record (4-2)

Record: 4-2

Cincinnati -2 @ Notre Dame

I’m still not impressed with Notre Dame, honestly. They’ve barely pulled some of these wins off and last week’s game against Wisconsin was closer than the score showed. If Cincy wins out, they could potentially be up for a playoff spot. I’ll take the Bearcats.

Kansas St +10.5 vs Oklahoma

The Wildcats have kind of dominated this matchup recently. This game is bound to be close and Oklahoma looks really bad. Ten points seems like a whole lot.

Alabama -14.5 vs Ole Miss

We do this dance with Alabama every year where we say “I think that (insert trendy underdog) will beat Alabama,” and every year we are wrong. Ole Miss can sling it, and there will be a TON of points in this game. But Alabama is at home and two touchdowns really isn’t that much for me to lay in a game like this.

Western Kentucky +10.5 @ Michigan St

I’ve been a fan of the Hilltoppers since before the season started. They have a high-powered offense that can score at will. They’re off a recent home loss to Indiana, and they know they can beat Big Ten teams. And…Michigan State is 1-13 ATS in their last 14 as a home favorite. Yikes. I really like WKU; they can win this outright.

Clemson under 31 total points

Am I missing something here? Clemson has scored 3, 14, and 21 points in their three real games this year, and Boston College is no cupcake. It’s hard to bet Clemson right now; they look awful. They’re gonna have to prove to me they can put up points.

Hawaii +10.5 vs Fresno St

This Fresno State team is a rollercoaster. Up one week, down the next. Now they travel to the island where anything can happen. I’m gonna fade the public and follow the expert money on this and take Hawaii at home. Go Rainbow Warriors!

 

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