College Football

SportsTalkATL’s College Football Gambling Locks Week 14

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Turner Skehan (23-17-2)

Ole Miss (+3) at Mississippi State

In a battle of quarterbacks few people outside of the South know, John Rhys Smith holds a clear edge over Tommy Stevens. Joe Morehead hasn’t been able to figure things out at Miss State, and I think it is only going to get worse for him as he misses out on a bowl game by losing to the Rebels.

LSU vs. Texas A&M (Under 64)

Most games the Aggies have played in feature defense on both sides. Texas A&M’s offense is anemic, and their defense has been the only thing keeping them in games. It’s a rivalry, and the only way I see this going over is if the Tigers drop more than 40 points. They’ve done that a lot, but I think this game is a physical one and finishes a good bit below the number.

Ohio State (-9) at Michigan

This is the LOCK OF THE CENTURY! Don’t fall for the Michigan hype. Jim Harbaugh is not about to get over the hump. Get rich – bet Ohio State.

Stanford (+16.5) at Notre Dame

Notre Dame is going across the country and has to win by 17+ in a rivalry game. That’s a tough ask, and one they won’t be able to do.

Mizzou (-12) at Arkansas

I’m aware Mizzou is in freefall, but Arkansas might be the worst team in the FBS. Getting the Tigers at -12 is an absolute steal.

Chase Irle (25-22-2)

Ole Miss (+3) at MSU

It’s incredible how this line opened at 14 in favor of Mississippi State and is already down to three. Sharp money is all over the Rebels, and can you blame them? I was shocked when I saw MSU favored so heavily initially and jumped all over it, but I’d still take it at +3. I think the Runnin’ Rebels win straight up. This feels like two programs heading in opposite directions. The best opportunity for Mississippi to prove that is by beating their arch-rival in their own building.

Ohio State (-9) at Michigan (2U)

Being this is our first year doing the College Football Gambling Locks, the rules are kind of up in the air, so I’m going to make up a new one. I’m placing two units or twice the amount I would usually bet on the Buckeyes (so it will count for two games towards my record).

Ah, it’s that time of the year where we overrate the shit out of Michigan because they’ve beaten up on some bad Big 10 teams. Jim Harbaugh loves to choke, and people are starting to believe Ohio State is vulnerable after an ugly win over Penn State. The truth is the Buckeyes are very vulnerable – just not against Michigan. They will learn the hard way in the playoffs, but for now, enjoy watching them beat the hell out of their rival once again.

Wake Forrest (-4) at Syracuse

You’ll never hear me call myself a Wake Forrest believer – because I’m not – but I do love to fade terrible football teams, and Syracuse is a poor excuse for one.

Tenessee (-21) vs. Vandy

This is a HUGE line for Tennessee, which is why the public is backing… Vandy? I’m not sure why you would put your hard-earned cash on the Commodores – doesn’t seem like a wise decision to me – especially since the Vols have earned this line. They might be the second-best team in the SEC East as things stand today, and they will finish on a high note by walloping Vanderbilt.

LSU vs. Texas A&M (Under 64)

Typically the play with LSU is the over. Their offense is easily the best in the country, and their defense has given up points. But for those of you that don’t watch the games (I’m looking at you playoff committee), most of the points LSU has allowed are when the game is well out of hand. Somehow that cost them this week in the CFP rankings despite comfortable wins over Alabama, Auburn, Florida, and Texas. Well, if defense is what you want, LSU – contrary to popular belief – has it. There are first-round athletes all over the field for the Tigers, and Texas A&M’s offense has struggled all season. I’m expecting a statement to be made by LSU’s defense.

LSU (-17) vs. Texas A&M

The Tigers not only are going to be pissed off after the playoff committee’s decision, but this is also a revenge game for LSU as they lost last season in what was the game of the year – a seven overtime thriller that came down to a two-point conversion. They will roll in their final game at home.

Florida (-17) vs. FSU

I mean c’mon… Only 17 points. Give me the Gators.

Miami (OH) (+4) vs. Ball State

Y’all know the Bear from College Gameday? Here’s a nice little tidbit on this game:

Good enough for me to bet on two teams I know absolutely nothing about.

Washington (-7) vs. Washington State

The Huskies have had an incredibly disappointing year, but they still own this rivalry – winners of six straight. I think they continue this domination over Washington State, who can’t play defense for the life of them.

Conclusion

It’s rivalry week. Time to GO OFF!

Harrison Coburn (23-22-1)

Wake Forrest (-4) at Syracuse

This line is just disrespectful to Wake Forrest – a team I have backed all season. Syracuse is up there with Arkansas and UCLA as teams to bet against. I’m riding with the Demon Deacons.

Ohio State (-9) at Michigan

Make it a clean sweep. We are all on Ohio State, so fade us and lose, or take the Buckeyes and make free cash.

Alabama (-4) at Auburn

Perhaps this is a homer pick, but I see Mac Jones having a clear edge over Bo Nix at QB, who has been terrible this season. The Tide have enough athletes to win, and they need to do it by at least a score if they want to sneak in the playoffs.

Jake Gordon (21-22)

Penn State (-21 first half) vs. Rutgers

Sure, there is the opportunity for a let down after the big games Penn State has participated in, but I’m not buying it. To ensure there is no backdoor cover, I’m taking the first half line.

Mizzou (-12) at Arkansas

Is Arkansas only a 12-point dog against an FBS opponent? I will take that every day of the week and sleep happily.

Bama (-3.5) at Auburn

This is ballsy, but I’m on the Mac Jones bandwagon. Alabama still has the athletes at the receiver position to put up plenty of points. They will be ready for this game – needing an impressive win to advance to the playoffs.

Ohio State (-9) at Michigan

I’m not falling for it, and you shouldn’t either. I realize everybody on this board has Ohio State cruising over Michigan. That could be a bad sign, but I’ll rely on the recent history of this rivalry. The Buckeyes win BIG.

Florida (-17) vs. Florida State

Florida State may have won a few games since firing their head coach, but their opponents weren’t on the same level as Florida. Frankly, the Seminoles haven’t played a team as good as Florida all season, and the Gators love to destroy their in-state rivals.

 

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