Baseball Prospectus and FanGraphs can run their simulations and provide their projections, but Vegas is the only one that actually matters, right? Those projection systems haven’t been so kind to the Braves, but Vegas remains confident Atlanta will have another memorable year and make a run at their fourth consecutive NL East title.
According to SuperBook sports, The Mets and Braves are the clear-cut favorites in the division. They have set both of their season totals at 90.5.
— SuperBook Sports (@SuperBookSports) February 16, 2021
As you can see, the Nationals aren’t too far behind at 84.5, followed by the Phillies (80.5) and Marlins (74.5).
These will likely change slightly before Opening Day. Many high-quality free agents remain on the market, and the Braves are among the teams who still have some work to do (if their payroll will allow it). I wouldn’t rule out the Mets making a significant addition either. Steve Cohen has allowed them to spend in bunches this offseason, and they may not be quite done yet.